Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/10773/18070| Title: | A SICA compartmental model in epidemiology with application to HIV/AIDS in Cape Verde |
| Author: | Silva, Cristiana J. Torres, Delfim F.M. |
| Keywords: | Antiretroviral therapy (ART) Global stability HIV/AIDS epidemiology SICA compartmental model United Nations UNAIDS strategy |
| Issue Date: | Jun-2017 |
| Publisher: | Elsevier |
| Abstract: | We propose a new mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Global stability of the unique endemic equilibrium is proved. Then, based on data provided by the “Progress Report on the AIDS response in Cape Verde 2015”, we calibrate our model to the cumulative cases of infection by HIV and AIDS from 1987 to 2014 and we show that our model predicts well such reality. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is done for the case study in Cape Verde. We conclude that the goal of the United Nations to end the AIDS epidemic by 2030 is a nontrivial task. |
| Peer review: | yes |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10773/18070 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.ecocom.2016.12.001 |
| ISSN: | 1476-945X |
| Appears in Collections: | CIDMA - Artigos SCG - Artigos |
Files in This Item:
| File | Description | Size | Format | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| [359]Silva-Torres-ECOCOM.pdf | 441.96 kB | Adobe PDF |  |
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