Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10773/16482
Title: Coexistence of two dengue virus serotypes and forecasting for Madeira Island
Author: Rocha, Filipa Portugal
Rodrigues, Helena Sofia
Monteiro, M. Teresa T.
Torres, Delfim F. M.
Keywords: Modeling infectious diseases
Dengue Virus
Serotype
Multistrain
Issue Date: Dec-2015
Publisher: Elsevier
Abstract: The first outbreak of dengue occurred in Madeira Island in 2012, featuring one virus serotype. Aedes aegypti was the vector of the disease and it is unlikely that it will be eliminated from the island. Therefore, a new outbreak of dengue fever can occur and, if it happens, risk to the population increases if two serotypes coexist. In this paper, mathematical modeling and numerical simulations are carried out to forecast what may happen in Madeira Island in such a scenario.
Peer review: yes
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10773/16482
DOI: 10.1016/j.orhc.2015.07.003
ISSN: 2211-6923
Appears in Collections:CIDMA - Artigos

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