Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo:
http://hdl.handle.net/10773/26063
Título: | The risk of contagion spreading and its optimal control in the economy |
Autor: | Kostylenko, Olena Rodrigues, Helena Sofia Torres, Delfim F. M. |
Palavras-chave: | Contagion Financial Virus Infection Spreading Epidemiological Model Network Optimal Control |
Data: | Jun-2019 |
Editora: | International Academic Press |
Resumo: | The global crisis of 2008 provoked a heightened interest among scientists to study the phenomenon, its propagation and negative consequences. The process of modelling the spread of a virus is commonly used in epidemiology. Conceptually, the spread of a disease among a population is similar to the contagion process in economy. This similarity allows considering the contagion in the world financial system using the same mathematical model of infection spread that is often used in epidemiology. Our research focuses on the dynamic behaviour of contagion spreading in the global financial network. The effect of infection by a systemic spread of risks in the network of national banking systems of countries is tested. An optimal control problem is then formulated to simulate a control that may avoid significant financial losses. The results show that the proposed approach describes well the reality of the world economy, and emphasizes the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. |
Peer review: | yes |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10773/26063 |
ISSN: | 2310-5070 |
Aparece nas coleções: | CIDMA - Artigos SCG - Artigos |
Ficheiros deste registo:
Ficheiro | Descrição | Tamanho | Formato | |
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2019_SOIC_FINAL_the risk_contagion_Olena_Delfim.pdf | 1.8 MB | Adobe PDF | Ver/Abrir |
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